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Politik·Pematian Pemerintah

Berapa lama penghentian DHS akan berlangsung?

Market icon
Politik·Pematian Pemerintah

Berapa lama penghentian DHS akan berlangsung?

Mar 14

Mar 14

Polymarket

$1,437,841 Vol.

Polymarket

$1,437,841 Vol.

70+ hari

$31,156 Vol.

88%

80+ hari

$32,117 Vol.

68%

90+ hari

$39,266 Vol.

65%

100+ hari

$163 Vol.

29%

110+ hari

$80 Vol.

37%

120+ hari

$200 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional disputes over appropriations for immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP, now entering its ninth week as of April 18. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings featured DHS officials warning of mounting backlogs in contracts and planning, including slowed World Cup security coordination, while the agency recalled thousands of furloughed employees to duty without pay on April 10 amid operational strains. Republican congressional leaders, including House Speaker Mike Johnson, are advancing a funding bill after Senate bipartisan passage, with a potential House floor vote imminent that could end the lapse; traders weigh negotiation momentum against persistent partisan holdouts on reforms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,437,841
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shutdown, ongoing since February 14, 2026, stems from congressional disputes over appropriations for immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP, now entering its ninth week as of April 18. Recent House Appropriations Committee hearings featured DHS officials warning of mounting backlogs in contracts and planning, including slowed World Cup security coordination, while the agency recalled thousands of furloughed employees to duty without pay on April 10 amid operational strains. Republican congressional leaders, including House Speaker Mike Johnson, are advancing a funding bill after Senate bipartisan passage, with a potential House floor vote imminent that could end the lapse; traders weigh negotiation momentum against persistent partisan holdouts on reforms.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,437,841
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 4:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Berapa lama penghentian DHS akan berlangsung?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 18 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "3+ hari" di 100%, diikuti oleh "5+ hari" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Berapa lama penghentian DHS akan berlangsung?" telah menghasilkan $1.4 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Feb 15, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Berapa lama penghentian DHS akan berlangsung?," jelajahi 18 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Berapa lama penghentian DHS akan berlangsung?" adalah "3+ hari" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "5+ hari" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Berapa lama penghentian DHS akan berlangsung?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.