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icon for Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

icon for Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$11,206 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$11,206 Vol.

Polymarket

$40 trillion

$5,406 Vol.

93%

$41 trillion

$629 Vol.

42%

$42 trillion

$5,172 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.Persistent large federal deficits, projected by the CBO at $1.9 trillion for fiscal year 2026 and rising thereafter, continue to drive gross national debt higher amid elevated interest costs exceeding $1 trillion annually and spending on entitlements. The 2025 reconciliation legislation expanded outlays while tariff revenues provided partial offset, with debt held by the public already above 100 percent of GDP and on track to surpass prior records by 2030 under current law. A 2025 debt-limit increase provides runway into 2027, delaying immediate pressure, while November 2026 midterm elections and subsequent appropriations could shape near-term fiscal policy without reversing the upward trajectory before year-end 2026. Trader assessments reflect these structural imbalances and limited prospects for rapid deficit reduction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$11,206
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.Persistent large federal deficits, projected by the CBO at $1.9 trillion for fiscal year 2026 and rising thereafter, continue to drive gross national debt higher amid elevated interest costs exceeding $1 trillion annually and spending on entitlements. The 2025 reconciliation legislation expanded outlays while tariff revenues provided partial offset, with debt held by the public already above 100 percent of GDP and on track to surpass prior records by 2030 under current law. A 2025 debt-limit increase provides runway into 2027, delaying immediate pressure, while November 2026 midterm elections and subsequent appropriations could shape near-term fiscal policy without reversing the upward trajectory before year-end 2026. Trader assessments reflect these structural imbalances and limited prospects for rapid deficit reduction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$11,206
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Peak US National Debt before 2027?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "$39 trillion" di 100%, diikuti oleh "$40 trillion" di 93%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Peak US National Debt before 2027?" telah menghasilkan $11.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 5, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Peak US National Debt before 2027?," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Peak US National Debt before 2027?" adalah "$39 trillion" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$40 trillion" di 93%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Peak US National Debt before 2027?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.