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icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Politik·Swedia

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

icon for Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
Politik·Swedia

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

BARU
Jan 31, 2027
Polymarket

$8,354 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$2,504 Vol.

90%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$954 Vol.

85%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$968 Vol.

71%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$760 Vol.

72%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$1,159 Vol.

26%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$925 Vol.

30%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$1,015 Vol.

12%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$26 Vol.

6%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$45 Vol.

47%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling ahead of the 13 September 2026 Riksdag election shows the centre-left opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens) holding a lead of roughly 50-55% against the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by Sweden Democrats) at 43-47%. This sustained advantage, stable since mid-2026, reflects voter priorities on crime, security, and the economy while pressuring the current minority arrangement. Small-party thresholds remain pivotal, with Liberals frequently polling below 4% and the Centre Party’s positioning influencing potential majority calculations. Post-election government formation will hinge on bloc arithmetic for 175 seats, negotiation dynamics, and whether any late shifts occur before advance voting concludes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volume
$8,354
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent polling ahead of the 13 September 2026 Riksdag election shows the centre-left opposition bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Greens) holding a lead of roughly 50-55% against the incumbent right-wing Tidö bloc (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, supported by Sweden Democrats) at 43-47%. This sustained advantage, stable since mid-2026, reflects voter priorities on crime, security, and the economy while pressuring the current minority arrangement. Small-party thresholds remain pivotal, with Liberals frequently polling below 4% and the Centre Party’s positioning influencing potential majority calculations. Post-election government formation will hinge on bloc arithmetic for 175 seats, negotiation dynamics, and whether any late shifts occur before advance voting concludes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Volume
$8,354
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 31, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Terkait

icon for Apakah Partai Sosial Demokrat Swedia (S) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Swedia 2026?

Apakah Partai Sosial Demokrat Swedia (S) akan memenangkan kursi terbanyak dalam pemilihan parlemen Swedia 2026?

98%
Ya
icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

18%
icon for Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 115-119 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

25%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" di 90%, diikuti oleh "Green Party (MP)" di 85%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 90¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 19, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?" adalah "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)" di 90%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 90% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Green Party (MP)" di 85%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.