Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, holds the lead in recent Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with support around 47% compared to incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. The margin has narrowed from earlier post-convention polls as free electoral advertising on radio and television began and both candidates intensified regional campaigning. Elmano benefits from PT organizational support and appearances by President Lula, while Ciro draws on established name recognition and a broad coalition ticket including Roberto Cláudio. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register negligible shares, consistent with the market's assessment that the contest will likely be decided between the two frontrunners. Traders price the implied probability of a Ciro victory at 57.5% amid the tightening race and remaining undecided voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$250,022 Vol.
$250,022 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
57%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$250,022 Vol.
$250,022 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$116,472 Vol.
57%
Elmano de Freitas
$62,671 Vol.
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, holds the lead in recent Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with support around 47% compared to incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. The margin has narrowed from earlier post-convention polls as free electoral advertising on radio and television began and both candidates intensified regional campaigning. Elmano benefits from PT organizational support and appearances by President Lula, while Ciro draws on established name recognition and a broad coalition ticket including Roberto Cláudio. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register negligible shares, consistent with the market's assessment that the contest will likely be decided between the two frontrunners. Traders price the implied probability of a Ciro victory at 57.5% amid the tightening race and remaining undecided voters.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$250,022Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, holds the lead in recent Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with support around 47% compared to incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. The margin has narrowed from earlier post-convention polls as free electoral advertising on radio and television began and both candidates intensified regional campaigning. Elmano benefits from PT organizational support and appearances by President Lula, while Ciro draws on established name recognition and a broad coalition ticket including Roberto Cláudio. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register negligible shares, consistent with the market's assessment that the contest will likely be decided between the two frontrunners. Traders price the implied probability of a Ciro victory at 57.5% amid the tightening race and remaining undecided voters.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$250,022Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB), a former Ceará governor and federal minister, holds the lead in recent Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys for the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with support around 47% compared to incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%. The margin has narrowed from earlier post-convention polls as free electoral advertising on radio and television began and both candidates intensified regional campaigning. Elmano benefits from PT organizational support and appearances by President Lula, while Ciro draws on established name recognition and a broad coalition ticket including Roberto Cláudio. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and others register negligible shares, consistent with the market's assessment that the contest will likely be decided between the two frontrunners. Traders price the implied probability of a Ciro victory at 57.5% amid the tightening race and remaining undecided voters.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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