Recent polling averages position Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the clear frontrunner for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with consistent first-round leads of 43-48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 31-35%. Traders appear to price in Gomes's strong name recognition from prior terms as governor and minister, alongside voter assessments of state management under the current Workers' Party administration. Elmano retains a viable path through party infrastructure and potential runoff consolidation, reflected in his 30% market share. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) and others register negligible support in surveys and market pricing, underscoring the binary nature of the contest. No major shifts from scandals, alliances, or policy announcements have altered this dynamic in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Camilo Santana 1.7%
Eduardo Girão 1.1%
$118,324 Vol.
$118,324 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
70%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
Camilo Santana
2%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Camilo Santana 1.7%
Eduardo Girão 1.1%
$118,324 Vol.
$118,324 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$70,524 Vol.
70%
Elmano de Freitas
$19,611 Vol.
30%
Camilo Santana
$5,887 Vol.
2%
Eduardo Girão
$8,107 Vol.
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$6,524 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$7,671 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling averages position Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the clear frontrunner for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with consistent first-round leads of 43-48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 31-35%. Traders appear to price in Gomes's strong name recognition from prior terms as governor and minister, alongside voter assessments of state management under the current Workers' Party administration. Elmano retains a viable path through party infrastructure and potential runoff consolidation, reflected in his 30% market share. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) and others register negligible support in surveys and market pricing, underscoring the binary nature of the contest. No major shifts from scandals, alliances, or policy announcements have altered this dynamic in recent weeks.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$118,324Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling averages position Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the clear frontrunner for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with consistent first-round leads of 43-48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 31-35%. Traders appear to price in Gomes's strong name recognition from prior terms as governor and minister, alongside voter assessments of state management under the current Workers' Party administration. Elmano retains a viable path through party infrastructure and potential runoff consolidation, reflected in his 30% market share. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) and others register negligible support in surveys and market pricing, underscoring the binary nature of the contest. No major shifts from scandals, alliances, or policy announcements have altered this dynamic in recent weeks.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$118,324Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position Ciro Gomes (PSDB) as the clear frontrunner for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with consistent first-round leads of 43-48% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 31-35%. Traders appear to price in Gomes's strong name recognition from prior terms as governor and minister, alongside voter assessments of state management under the current Workers' Party administration. Elmano retains a viable path through party infrastructure and potential runoff consolidation, reflected in his 30% market share. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão (NOVO) and others register negligible support in surveys and market pricing, underscoring the binary nature of the contest. No major shifts from scandals, alliances, or policy announcements have altered this dynamic in recent weeks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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