**Recent polls have solidified Ciro Gomes's position as the frontrunner in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with trader consensus reflecting his 51.5% implied probability from consistent leads like the April 30 Genial/Quaest survey showing him at 41% versus incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%.** Multiple surveys from late March through early April, including AtlasIntel (Ciro 46.2%, Elmano 42.6%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Ciro 46.6%), underscore his strength in both first-round and runoff scenarios against Elmano, boosting his edge amid high undecided voters. Elmano trails at 29.5% due to weaker performance despite PT incumbency, while Roberto Cláudio (11.8%) and Eduardo Girão (10.7%) gain traction as alternatives, with right-leaning Capitão Wagner at 4.1% and low-odds Camilo Santana (2.7%) sidelined by polls favoring others. Upcoming campaign events could shift the closely contested dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 51%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Roberto Cláudio 12.8%
Eduardo Girão 10.7%
$15,477 Vol.
$15,477 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
51%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
Roberto Cláudio
13%
Eduardo Girão
11%
Capitão Wagner
4%
Camilo Santana
3%
Ciro Gomes 51%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Roberto Cláudio 12.8%
Eduardo Girão 10.7%
$15,477 Vol.
$15,477 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$10,225 Vol.
51%
Elmano de Freitas
$2,112 Vol.
30%
Roberto Cláudio
$619 Vol.
13%
Eduardo Girão
$709 Vol.
11%
Capitão Wagner
$987 Vol.
4%
Camilo Santana
$824 Vol.
3%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polls have solidified Ciro Gomes's position as the frontrunner in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with trader consensus reflecting his 51.5% implied probability from consistent leads like the April 30 Genial/Quaest survey showing him at 41% versus incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%.** Multiple surveys from late March through early April, including AtlasIntel (Ciro 46.2%, Elmano 42.6%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Ciro 46.6%), underscore his strength in both first-round and runoff scenarios against Elmano, boosting his edge amid high undecided voters. Elmano trails at 29.5% due to weaker performance despite PT incumbency, while Roberto Cláudio (11.8%) and Eduardo Girão (10.7%) gain traction as alternatives, with right-leaning Capitão Wagner at 4.1% and low-odds Camilo Santana (2.7%) sidelined by polls favoring others. Upcoming campaign events could shift the closely contested dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$15,477Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polls have solidified Ciro Gomes's position as the frontrunner in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with trader consensus reflecting his 51.5% implied probability from consistent leads like the April 30 Genial/Quaest survey showing him at 41% versus incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%.** Multiple surveys from late March through early April, including AtlasIntel (Ciro 46.2%, Elmano 42.6%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Ciro 46.6%), underscore his strength in both first-round and runoff scenarios against Elmano, boosting his edge amid high undecided voters. Elmano trails at 29.5% due to weaker performance despite PT incumbency, while Roberto Cláudio (11.8%) and Eduardo Girão (10.7%) gain traction as alternatives, with right-leaning Capitão Wagner at 4.1% and low-odds Camilo Santana (2.7%) sidelined by polls favoring others. Upcoming campaign events could shift the closely contested dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,477Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polls have solidified Ciro Gomes's position as the frontrunner in the Ceará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4, 2026, first-round vote, with trader consensus reflecting his 51.5% implied probability from consistent leads like the April 30 Genial/Quaest survey showing him at 41% versus incumbent Elmano de Freitas's 32%.** Multiple surveys from late March through early April, including AtlasIntel (Ciro 46.2%, Elmano 42.6%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Ciro 46.6%), underscore his strength in both first-round and runoff scenarios against Elmano, boosting his edge amid high undecided voters. Elmano trails at 29.5% due to weaker performance despite PT incumbency, while Roberto Cláudio (11.8%) and Eduardo Girão (10.7%) gain traction as alternatives, with right-leaning Capitão Wagner at 4.1% and low-odds Camilo Santana (2.7%) sidelined by polls favoring others. Upcoming campaign events could shift the closely contested dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan