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icon for Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
Politik·Meksiko

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

icon for Sinaloa Governor Election Winner
Politik·Meksiko

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Imelda Castro Castro 85%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.7%

Omar López Campos 3.6%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.5%

Polymarket

$31,091 Vol.

Imelda Castro Castro 85%

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa 4.7%

Omar López Campos 3.6%

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil 3.5%

Polymarket

$31,091 Vol.

icon for Imelda Castro Castro

Imelda Castro Castro

$15,663 Vol.

85%

icon for María Teresa Guerra Ochoa

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa

$8,044 Vol.

5%

icon for Omar López Campos

Omar López Campos

$524 Vol.

4%

icon for Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil

$393 Vol.

4%

icon for Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros

$417 Vol.

3%

icon for Tomás de Jesús López Bajo

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo

$433 Vol.

3%

icon for Graciela Domínguez Nava

Graciela Domínguez Nava

$427 Vol.

3%

icon for Sergio Torres Félix

Sergio Torres Félix

$422 Vol.

3%

icon for Guillermo Romero Rodríguez

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez

$353 Vol.

2%

icon for Lucila Ayala de Moreschi

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi

$352 Vol.

2%

icon for Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos

$373 Vol.

2%

icon for Ricardo Madrid Pérez

Ricardo Madrid Pérez

$378 Vol.

2%

icon for Paloma Sánchez Ramos

Paloma Sánchez Ramos

$358 Vol.

2%

icon for Roxana Rubio Valdez

Roxana Rubio Valdez

$373 Vol.

2%

icon for María Fernanda Rivera

María Fernanda Rivera

$342 Vol.

1%

icon for Mario Zamora Gastélum

Mario Zamora Gastélum

$382 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez

$373 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Ortiz Hernández

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández

$378 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García

$373 Vol.

1%

icon for Jesús Fernando García Hernández

Jesús Fernando García Hernández

$373 Vol.

1%

icon for Estrella Palacios Domínguez

Estrella Palacios Domínguez

$363 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Imelda Castro Castro holds an 84.5% implied probability in the Sinaloa gubernatorial election market because Morena and its allies designated her in August 2026 as the state coordinator for the Fourth Transformation, the role that typically becomes the party’s nominee. The June 2027 contest occurs after Rubén Rocha Moya’s resignation amid U.S. charges, leaving an interim Morena administration and preserving the party’s institutional edge. Other listed aspirants, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and Graciela Domínguez Nava, registered for the internal process but trail after Castro’s selection and the withdrawal of competing profiles. Opposition figures such as Mario Zamora Gastélum register single-digit probabilities, reflecting Morena’s polling lead and the structural advantages of incumbency heading into the June vote. Traders price the outcome accordingly, with resolution tied to official results from the June 2027 election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$31,091
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Imelda Castro Castro holds an 84.5% implied probability in the Sinaloa gubernatorial election market because Morena and its allies designated her in August 2026 as the state coordinator for the Fourth Transformation, the role that typically becomes the party’s nominee. The June 2027 contest occurs after Rubén Rocha Moya’s resignation amid U.S. charges, leaving an interim Morena administration and preserving the party’s institutional edge. Other listed aspirants, including María Teresa Guerra Ochoa and Graciela Domínguez Nava, registered for the internal process but trail after Castro’s selection and the withdrawal of competing profiles. Opposition figures such as Mario Zamora Gastélum register single-digit probabilities, reflecting Morena’s polling lead and the structural advantages of incumbency heading into the June vote. Traders price the outcome accordingly, with resolution tied to official results from the June 2027 election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$31,091
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2028
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 21 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Imelda Castro Castro" di 85%, diikuti oleh "María Teresa Guerra Ochoa" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 85¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" telah menghasilkan $31.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 21 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" adalah "Imelda Castro Castro" di 85%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "María Teresa Guerra Ochoa" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.