Nayarit’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability as traders price a fragmented field ahead of party nominations. Morena, the state’s dominant force, faces multiple aspirants including Senator Pavel Jarero Velázquez, while opposition and independent figures such as Gustavo Ayón Aguirre and Enrique Díaz López trail further behind. Early positioning, internal polling, and coalition negotiations within the ruling party are the main variables keeping probabilities compressed. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, primary conventions, and any high-profile endorsements or defections could quickly consolidate support and separate leaders. Resolution hinges on the official election outcome once nominees are finalized.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPavel Jarero Velázquez 84%
Enrique Díaz López 84%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez 28%
Héctor Santana García 28%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
84%

Enrique Díaz López
84%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
28%

Héctor Santana García
28%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
24%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
21%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
26%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
29%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
20%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
19%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
18%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
18%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
15%

José Antonio Barajas López
22%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
16%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
24%

Ignacio Flores Medina
23%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
-

Nadia Ramírez López
27%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
27%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
31%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez 84%
Enrique Díaz López 84%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez 28%
Héctor Santana García 28%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
84%

Enrique Díaz López
84%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
28%

Héctor Santana García
28%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
24%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
21%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
26%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
29%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
20%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
19%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
18%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
18%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
15%

José Antonio Barajas López
22%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
16%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
24%

Ignacio Flores Medina
23%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
-

Nadia Ramírez López
27%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
27%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
31%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Nayarit’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains wide open, with no candidate exceeding low-40s implied probability as traders price a fragmented field ahead of party nominations. Morena, the state’s dominant force, faces multiple aspirants including Senator Pavel Jarero Velázquez, while opposition and independent figures such as Gustavo Ayón Aguirre and Enrique Díaz López trail further behind. Early positioning, internal polling, and coalition negotiations within the ruling party are the main variables keeping probabilities compressed. Upcoming candidate registration deadlines, primary conventions, and any high-profile endorsements or defections could quickly consolidate support and separate leaders. Resolution hinges on the official election outcome once nominees are finalized.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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