The 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial election remains highly fluid more than nine months before the June vote, with the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance holding a clear lead in recent polling above 50 percent while opposition parties register single-digit to low-teen support. Trader probabilities stay compressed because no party has completed internal selections or finalized tickets, leaving multiple aspirants—including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Pavel Jarero Velázquez, and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez—competing for the dominant coalition’s nomination. Fragmented opposition fields and high undecided shares in surveys further limit separation among listed contenders. Clearer movement in implied probabilities is expected once coalition processes conclude and official candidates emerge.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 31.6%
Héctor Santana García 30.4%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.6%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 12.1%
$30,014 Vol.
$30,014 Vol.
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
32%
Héctor Santana García
30%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
2%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%
Nadia Ramírez López
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 31.6%
Héctor Santana García 30.4%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 12.6%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 12.1%
$30,014 Vol.
$30,014 Vol.
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
32%
Héctor Santana García
30%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
13%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
12%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
2%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
<1%
Nadia Ramírez López
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial election remains highly fluid more than nine months before the June vote, with the Morena-PT-PVEM alliance holding a clear lead in recent polling above 50 percent while opposition parties register single-digit to low-teen support. Trader probabilities stay compressed because no party has completed internal selections or finalized tickets, leaving multiple aspirants—including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Pavel Jarero Velázquez, and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez—competing for the dominant coalition’s nomination. Fragmented opposition fields and high undecided shares in surveys further limit separation among listed contenders. Clearer movement in implied probabilities is expected once coalition processes conclude and official candidates emerge.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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