Morena maintains a commanding position in recent Sonora polling for the 2027 gubernatorial race, with party identification near 45-50% and a wide margin over PAN and PRI. Within Morena, Lorenia Valles Sampedro leads internal preferences in July-September surveys, though Javier Lamarque Cano and Célida López Cárdenas remain competitive, while opposition contenders such as Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez head their parties' lists. The market's spread across numerous named aspirants reflects unresolved internal contests, high undecided shares, and the absence of formal nominations or major alliances. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a fragmented field where shifts in Morena's selection process, opposition coalitions, or state-level security and economic indicators could consolidate support ahead of the election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLorenia Valles Sampedro 27%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.2%
$38,157 Vol.
$38,157 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
27%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 27%
Javier Lamarque Cano 20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 19.9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 16.2%
$38,157 Vol.
$38,157 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
27%
Javier Lamarque Cano
20%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
20%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
16%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
6%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
3%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
3%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
3%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
1%
Lilly Téllez García
1%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
<1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
<1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
<1%
Guadalupe María Soto
<1%
Patricia Mercado Castro
<1%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
<1%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding position in recent Sonora polling for the 2027 gubernatorial race, with party identification near 45-50% and a wide margin over PAN and PRI. Within Morena, Lorenia Valles Sampedro leads internal preferences in July-September surveys, though Javier Lamarque Cano and Célida López Cárdenas remain competitive, while opposition contenders such as Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez head their parties' lists. The market's spread across numerous named aspirants reflects unresolved internal contests, high undecided shares, and the absence of formal nominations or major alliances. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a fragmented field where shifts in Morena's selection process, opposition coalitions, or state-level security and economic indicators could consolidate support ahead of the election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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