Recent polling in targeted South Texas districts and the effects of the 2025 mid-decade redistricting continue to shape expectations for Democratic U.S. House performance in Texas. The new map, upheld by the Supreme Court, aimed to shift several districts toward Republicans and was projected to reduce Democratic seats from the current 13 (plus one vacancy) by three to five. However, August surveys show Democratic nominees leading or competitive in key races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, where candidates like Bobby Pulido, Henry Cuellar, and Vicente Gonzalez outperform 2024 baselines amid a midterm environment. With numerous open seats and 11 incumbents not seeking reelection, trader ranges cluster tightly around 10–13 seats, reflecting uncertainty over whether national trends or map changes will dominate outcomes on November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui12 20%
11 19%
10 17%
13 16%
$11,900 Vol.
$11,900 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<8
<1%
8
7%
9
11%
10
17%
11
19%
12
20%
13
16%
14+
11%
12 20%
11 19%
10 17%
13 16%
$11,900 Vol.
$11,900 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
<8
$220 Vol.
<1%
8
$3,686 Vol.
7%
9
$1,046 Vol.
11%
10
$1,359 Vol.
17%
11
$608 Vol.
19%
12
$674 Vol.
20%
13
$1,430 Vol.
16%
14+
$2,878 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling in targeted South Texas districts and the effects of the 2025 mid-decade redistricting continue to shape expectations for Democratic U.S. House performance in Texas. The new map, upheld by the Supreme Court, aimed to shift several districts toward Republicans and was projected to reduce Democratic seats from the current 13 (plus one vacancy) by three to five. However, August surveys show Democratic nominees leading or competitive in key races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, where candidates like Bobby Pulido, Henry Cuellar, and Vicente Gonzalez outperform 2024 baselines amid a midterm environment. With numerous open seats and 11 incumbents not seeking reelection, trader ranges cluster tightly around 10–13 seats, reflecting uncertainty over whether national trends or map changes will dominate outcomes on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$11,900Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling in targeted South Texas districts and the effects of the 2025 mid-decade redistricting continue to shape expectations for Democratic U.S. House performance in Texas. The new map, upheld by the Supreme Court, aimed to shift several districts toward Republicans and was projected to reduce Democratic seats from the current 13 (plus one vacancy) by three to five. However, August surveys show Democratic nominees leading or competitive in key races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, where candidates like Bobby Pulido, Henry Cuellar, and Vicente Gonzalez outperform 2024 baselines amid a midterm environment. With numerous open seats and 11 incumbents not seeking reelection, trader ranges cluster tightly around 10–13 seats, reflecting uncertainty over whether national trends or map changes will dominate outcomes on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,900Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in targeted South Texas districts and the effects of the 2025 mid-decade redistricting continue to shape expectations for Democratic U.S. House performance in Texas. The new map, upheld by the Supreme Court, aimed to shift several districts toward Republicans and was projected to reduce Democratic seats from the current 13 (plus one vacancy) by three to five. However, August surveys show Democratic nominees leading or competitive in key races such as the 15th, 28th, and 34th districts, where candidates like Bobby Pulido, Henry Cuellar, and Vicente Gonzalez outperform 2024 baselines amid a midterm environment. With numerous open seats and 11 incumbents not seeking reelection, trader ranges cluster tightly around 10–13 seats, reflecting uncertainty over whether national trends or map changes will dominate outcomes on November 3.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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