Official records, multiple federal reviews including recent DOJ and FBI examinations of 2026 file releases, and a New York Times investigation have consistently affirmed Jeffrey Epstein's 2019 death by suicide in federal custody, with forensic evidence, autopsy findings, and institutional failure analyses showing no credible indication of survival. Persistent online rumors and misidentified claims have been repeatedly debunked as fabrications or errors without producing verifiable proof. Traders assign 98% probability to "No" because the absence of any authenticated confirmation after seven years aligns with historical patterns for such cases and the low likelihood of sudden, incontrovertible evidence emerging before the December 31, 2026 resolution date. A verified public appearance, DNA match, or official reversal could still shift the outcome, though no such developments have materialized.