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Politik·Hasilkan 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Market icon
Politik·Hasilkan 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

65% peluang
Polymarket

$53,837 Vol.

65% peluang
Polymarket

$53,837 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$53,837
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 20, 2029
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$53,837
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 20, 2029
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 65% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 65¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 65% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" telah menghasilkan $53.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 19, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" adalah 65% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 65% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.