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Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

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Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

6% peluang
Polymarket

$151,814 Vol.

6% peluang
Polymarket

$151,814 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Democrats introduced articles of impeachment (H.Res.935) against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth this week, led by Rep. Yassamin Ansari, citing alleged war crimes, abuse of power, and oath violations tied to U.S. military operations in the Iran conflict—including Hegseth's April 8 declaration of a "decisive victory" after airstrikes. Traders nonetheless price "No" at 94.5% through June 30, reflecting Republican House majority control that blocks any floor vote or proceedings, absent a major scandal gaining bipartisan traction. Confirmed narrowly in January 2025, Hegseth continues Pentagon briefings with Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine, underscoring entrenched partisan divides shaping low impeachment odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$151,814
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Democrats introduced articles of impeachment (H.Res.935) against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth this week, led by Rep. Yassamin Ansari, citing alleged war crimes, abuse of power, and oath violations tied to U.S. military operations in the Iran conflict—including Hegseth's April 8 declaration of a "decisive victory" after airstrikes. Traders nonetheless price "No" at 94.5% through June 30, reflecting Republican House majority control that blocks any floor vote or proceedings, absent a major scandal gaining bipartisan traction. Confirmed narrowly in January 2025, Hegseth continues Pentagon briefings with Joint Chiefs Chair Gen. Dan Caine, underscoring entrenched partisan divides shaping low impeachment odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$151,814
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 6% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 6¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 6% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $151.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 7, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?" adalah 6% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 6% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.