Recent forecast guidance from European models and KNMI monitoring points to a mild southwesterly flow keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam near 16–17°C on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime maxima near 19–21°C further anchor the diurnal range. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context for the current above-normal warmth, though model consensus shows limited spread for this short-term horizon. Traders are closely watching the final 18–24 hour model runs and official station observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 19?
17°C 51%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
16°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
26%
16°C
28%
17°C
51%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 51%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
16°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$3 Vol.
26%
16°C
$40 Vol.
28%
17°C
$36 Vol.
51%
18°C
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models and KNMI monitoring points to a mild southwesterly flow keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam near 16–17°C on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime maxima near 19–21°C further anchor the diurnal range. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context for the current above-normal warmth, though model consensus shows limited spread for this short-term horizon. Traders are closely watching the final 18–24 hour model runs and official station observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$79Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models and KNMI monitoring points to a mild southwesterly flow keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam near 16–17°C on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime maxima near 19–21°C further anchor the diurnal range. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context for the current above-normal warmth, though model consensus shows limited spread for this short-term horizon. Traders are closely watching the final 18–24 hour model runs and official station observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models and KNMI monitoring points to a mild southwesterly flow keeping overnight lows in Amsterdam near 16–17°C on September 19, supporting the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and light winds are limiting radiative cooling, while daytime maxima near 19–21°C further anchor the diurnal range. Historical September averages near 11°C provide context for the current above-normal warmth, though model consensus shows limited spread for this short-term horizon. Traders are closely watching the final 18–24 hour model runs and official station observations for any late adjustments before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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