Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 18?
15°C 65%
14°C 18%
16°C 17%
13°C 3%
BARU
$12,310 Vol.
BARU
$12,310 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
18%
15°C
65%
16°C
17%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 18%
16°C 17%
13°C 3%
BARU
$12,310 Vol.
BARU
$12,310 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
9°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$596 Vol.
1%
13°C
$871 Vol.
3%
14°C
$2,133 Vol.
18%
15°C
$3,512 Vol.
65%
16°C
$2,654 Vol.
17%
17°C
$811 Vol.
2%
18°C
$568 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$279 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,310Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,310Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research position a daytime maximum near 15°C as the most probable outcome for Wellington on September 18, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows modest daytime warming above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5°C. Recent runs show afternoon peaks clustering between 14–16°C with low precipitation probability after overnight showers clear, narrowing the distribution and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C while leaving modest implied probability for 14°C or 16°C if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing shift slightly. Official observations from the prior 48 hours confirm temperatures tracking close to these guidance values, with no major model divergence noted ahead of the final 24-hour window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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