**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a maximum of 31°C for September 17 under the influence of a northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge promoting clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale.** Low precipitation probability and moderate humidity (55–85%) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rain to suppress temperatures. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31°C, consistent with September climatology where mean maxima hover around 30–32°C. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with the highest implied probability on 31°C and secondary weight on 30–32°C, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast variability or localized microclimate effects. The market will resolve on the official HKO reading tomorrow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
32°C 24%
29°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
39%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
32°C 24%
29°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
28%
31°C
39%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a maximum of 31°C for September 17 under the influence of a northeast monsoon and high-pressure ridge promoting clear, dry conditions with easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale.** Low precipitation probability and moderate humidity (55–85%) support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rain to suppress temperatures. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31°C, consistent with September climatology where mean maxima hover around 30–32°C. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with the highest implied probability on 31°C and secondary weight on 30–32°C, while lower odds on extremes account for minor forecast variability or localized microclimate effects. The market will resolve on the official HKO reading tomorrow.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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