Widespread thunderstorm activity and frontal moisture across the southern and central United States are driving trader consensus on the September 16 rain market, with Phoenix and Chicago showing the strongest implied probabilities. National Weather Service forecasts indicate 90–100% chances of heavy afternoon thunderstorms in Phoenix amid southeast flow and deep moisture, while Chicago faces near-certain thunderstorms from an approaching system with high humidity and 99% precipitation odds. Similar patterns affect Albuquerque and parts of the Midwest and South, consistent with climatological late-summer instability. In contrast, drier conditions prevail in the Pacific Northwest and Northeast per current model consensus. No major new data releases are scheduled today, though real-time radar and surface observations from NOAA will determine final resolution based on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will it rain on September 16?
New York, NY
3%
Los Angeles, CA
24%
Chicago, IL
75%
Houston, TX
25%
Dallas, TX
4%
Phoenix, AZ
52%
Philadelphia, PA
4%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
4%
Atlanta, GA
4%
Miami, FL
74%
Seattle, WA
4%
Boston, MA
4%
New Orleans, LA
26%
San Francisco, CA
-
$2,231 Vol.
New York, NY
3%
Los Angeles, CA
24%
Chicago, IL
75%
Houston, TX
25%
Dallas, TX
4%
Phoenix, AZ
52%
Philadelphia, PA
4%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
4%
Atlanta, GA
4%
Miami, FL
74%
Seattle, WA
4%
Boston, MA
4%
New Orleans, LA
26%
San Francisco, CA
-
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Widespread thunderstorm activity and frontal moisture across the southern and central United States are driving trader consensus on the September 16 rain market, with Phoenix and Chicago showing the strongest implied probabilities. National Weather Service forecasts indicate 90–100% chances of heavy afternoon thunderstorms in Phoenix amid southeast flow and deep moisture, while Chicago faces near-certain thunderstorms from an approaching system with high humidity and 99% precipitation odds. Similar patterns affect Albuquerque and parts of the Midwest and South, consistent with climatological late-summer instability. In contrast, drier conditions prevail in the Pacific Northwest and Northeast per current model consensus. No major new data releases are scheduled today, though real-time radar and surface observations from NOAA will determine final resolution based on measurable precipitation thresholds at specific stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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