Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a Toronto minimum near 17°C on September 17, driven by northerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while suppressing stronger cold-air advection. This places the expected low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 13.5°C, consistent with recent above-normal September warmth across the region. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 15–21°C bins because ensemble spreads and boundary-layer moisture introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading from official stations. New model guidance and real-time surface observations through the evening of September 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 17?
21°C or higher 62%
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
14%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
33%
16°C
26%
17°C
22%
18°C
20%
19°C
37%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
62%
21°C or higher 62%
15°C 40%
13°C 39%
14°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$51 Vol.
3%
12°C
$0 Vol.
14%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$228 Vol.
33%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$23 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$79 Vol.
37%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a Toronto minimum near 17°C on September 17, driven by northerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while suppressing stronger cold-air advection. This places the expected low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 13.5°C, consistent with recent above-normal September warmth across the region. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 15–21°C bins because ensemble spreads and boundary-layer moisture introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading from official stations. New model guidance and real-time surface observations through the evening of September 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$380Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a Toronto minimum near 17°C on September 17, driven by northerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while suppressing stronger cold-air advection. This places the expected low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 13.5°C, consistent with recent above-normal September warmth across the region. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 15–21°C bins because ensemble spreads and boundary-layer moisture introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading from official stations. New model guidance and real-time surface observations through the evening of September 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$380Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional analyses point to a Toronto minimum near 17°C on September 17, driven by northerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling while suppressing stronger cold-air advection. This places the expected low several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 13.5°C, consistent with recent above-normal September warmth across the region. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched across the 15–21°C bins because ensemble spreads and boundary-layer moisture introduce meaningful uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum, with resolution hinging on the final observed reading from official stations. New model guidance and real-time surface observations through the evening of September 16 will be the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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