Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Qingdao on September 18, with southeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort and partly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling. This consensus drives the near-even 49% market-implied odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can alter the low by 2–3°C through changes in heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima of 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns, but model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the observed uncertainty in specific bins such as 19°C or 20°C. Updated guidance from official monitoring is expected before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 18?
26°C or higher 76%
17°C 39%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
16%
17°C
39%
18°C
38%
19°C
22%
20°C
28%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
76%
26°C or higher 76%
17°C 39%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
28%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Qingdao on September 18, with southeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort and partly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling. This consensus drives the near-even 49% market-implied odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can alter the low by 2–3°C through changes in heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima of 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns, but model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the observed uncertainty in specific bins such as 19°C or 20°C. Updated guidance from official monitoring is expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Qingdao on September 18, with southeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort and partly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling. This consensus drives the near-even 49% market-implied odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can alter the low by 2–3°C through changes in heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima of 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns, but model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the observed uncertainty in specific bins such as 19°C or 20°C. Updated guidance from official monitoring is expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C for Qingdao on September 18, with southeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort and partly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling. This consensus drives the near-even 49% market-implied odds on 16°C or below versus 26°C or higher, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed can alter the low by 2–3°C through changes in heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima of 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns, but model spread on exact timing of any clearing introduces the observed uncertainty in specific bins such as 19°C or 20°C. Updated guidance from official monitoring is expected before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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