Recent forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 17, driven by a shift to southerly winds behind a front that will suppress daytime warming while bringing cloud cover and moderate rain. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions, where average highs reach only about 13–14°C and northerly flows that might allow brief warming are limited. The market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects model runs showing peak readings near midday before stronger southerlies arrive, though small revisions in wind timing or cloud thickness could still shift the outcome by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will provide the final signal before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
15°C 56%
14°C 32%
13°C 8%
16°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
32%
15°C
56%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 32%
13°C 8%
16°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$206 Vol.
1%
12°C
$61 Vol.
2%
13°C
$550 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5,692 Vol.
32%
15°C
$971 Vol.
56%
16°C
$514 Vol.
7%
17°C
$162 Vol.
2%
18°C
$186 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 17, driven by a shift to southerly winds behind a front that will suppress daytime warming while bringing cloud cover and moderate rain. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions, where average highs reach only about 13–14°C and northerly flows that might allow brief warming are limited. The market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects model runs showing peak readings near midday before stronger southerlies arrive, though small revisions in wind timing or cloud thickness could still shift the outcome by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will provide the final signal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,186Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 17, driven by a shift to southerly winds behind a front that will suppress daytime warming while bringing cloud cover and moderate rain. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions, where average highs reach only about 13–14°C and northerly flows that might allow brief warming are limited. The market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects model runs showing peak readings near midday before stronger southerlies arrive, though small revisions in wind timing or cloud thickness could still shift the outcome by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will provide the final signal before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,186Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from MetService and international models points to a high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 17, driven by a shift to southerly winds behind a front that will suppress daytime warming while bringing cloud cover and moderate rain. This aligns with typical early-spring conditions, where average highs reach only about 13–14°C and northerly flows that might allow brief warming are limited. The market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C reflects model runs showing peak readings near midday before stronger southerlies arrive, though small revisions in wind timing or cloud thickness could still shift the outcome by 1°C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will provide the final signal before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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