Current numerical weather prediction models show consensus for minimum temperatures of 9–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 17, driven by northerly advection of milder air and mostly clear skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs reflect a transition from earlier southerly flow, keeping values near seasonal averages for spring rather than supporting the market’s equal weighting of sub-6°C or 16°C+ outcomes. Key variables include wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture that could alter the exact low by a few degrees. Updated high-resolution forecasts and observations through the evening of the 16th will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 17?
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 88%
7°C 39%
12°C 37%
6°C or below
88%
7°C
39%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C or higher
88%
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 88%
7°C 39%
12°C 37%
6°C or below
88%
7°C
39%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models show consensus for minimum temperatures of 9–12°C in Buenos Aires on September 17, driven by northerly advection of milder air and mostly clear skies that limit daytime heating while permitting moderate overnight radiative cooling. Recent model runs reflect a transition from earlier southerly flow, keeping values near seasonal averages for spring rather than supporting the market’s equal weighting of sub-6°C or 16°C+ outcomes. Key variables include wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture that could alter the exact low by a few degrees. Updated high-resolution forecasts and observations through the evening of the 16th will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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