**Forecast models from multiple sources, including globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, currently project a high of 71–72°F for New York City on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds following northwest flow behind a frontal passage.** This places the market’s leading 72–73°F bin (55.5% implied probability) squarely in line with consensus guidance, while the adjacent 70–71°F (18%) and 74–75°F (17%) outcomes reflect residual model spread typical 48 hours out. The expected high sits several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 77°F, consistent with cooler air advection and minimal daytime heating under limited cloud cover. Official National Weather Service updates and any late-model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing will be the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities within the narrow 70–75°F window before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on September 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 15?
72-73°F 55%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 17%
78-79°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
55%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 55%
70-71°F 22%
74-75°F 17%
78-79°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
63°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$10 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$176 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$191 Vol.
55%
74-75°F
$607 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
2%
82°F or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, currently project a high of 71–72°F for New York City on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds following northwest flow behind a frontal passage.** This places the market’s leading 72–73°F bin (55.5% implied probability) squarely in line with consensus guidance, while the adjacent 70–71°F (18%) and 74–75°F (17%) outcomes reflect residual model spread typical 48 hours out. The expected high sits several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 77°F, consistent with cooler air advection and minimal daytime heating under limited cloud cover. Official National Weather Service updates and any late-model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing will be the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities within the narrow 70–75°F window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,020Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, currently project a high of 71–72°F for New York City on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds following northwest flow behind a frontal passage.** This places the market’s leading 72–73°F bin (55.5% implied probability) squarely in line with consensus guidance, while the adjacent 70–71°F (18%) and 74–75°F (17%) outcomes reflect residual model spread typical 48 hours out. The expected high sits several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 77°F, consistent with cooler air advection and minimal daytime heating under limited cloud cover. Official National Weather Service updates and any late-model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing will be the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities within the narrow 70–75°F window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,020Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including globalmeteo and WindBorne Systems, currently project a high of 71–72°F for New York City on September 15 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds following northwest flow behind a frontal passage.** This places the market’s leading 72–73°F bin (55.5% implied probability) squarely in line with consensus guidance, while the adjacent 70–71°F (18%) and 74–75°F (17%) outcomes reflect residual model spread typical 48 hours out. The expected high sits several degrees below the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 77°F, consistent with cooler air advection and minimal daytime heating under limited cloud cover. Official National Weather Service updates and any late-model shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing will be the key near-term catalysts that could nudge probabilities within the narrow 70–75°F window before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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