**Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 15 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf.** This setup maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs from the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, with most guidance clustering between 98–101°F and only minor variations in wind or dew-point forecasts. Historical September 15 highs average about 90°F, so the current pattern represents well above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 100–101°F and 28% on 98–99°F, aligns closely with this stable forecast envelope, with only slim odds assigned to 102°F+ outcomes that would require unexpected intensification or model bust.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on September 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 15?
100-101°F 67%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 4%
104-105°F 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
67%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 67%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 4%
104-105°F 2%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
91°F or below
$204 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$188 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$669 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$805 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$1,882 Vol.
29%
100-101°F
$1,884 Vol.
67%
102-103°F
$972 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$574 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$665 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$104 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$94 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 15 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf.** This setup maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs from the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, with most guidance clustering between 98–101°F and only minor variations in wind or dew-point forecasts. Historical September 15 highs average about 90°F, so the current pattern represents well above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 100–101°F and 28% on 98–99°F, aligns closely with this stable forecast envelope, with only slim odds assigned to 102°F+ outcomes that would require unexpected intensification or model bust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$8,042Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 15 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf.** This setup maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs from the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, with most guidance clustering between 98–101°F and only minor variations in wind or dew-point forecasts. Historical September 15 highs average about 90°F, so the current pattern represents well above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 100–101°F and 28% on 98–99°F, aligns closely with this stable forecast envelope, with only slim odds assigned to 102°F+ outcomes that would require unexpected intensification or model bust.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,042Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 15 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf.** This setup maximizes daytime insolation while limiting cloud cover or precipitation, keeping temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s. Recent model runs from the past 24–48 hours have shown little shift, with most guidance clustering between 98–101°F and only minor variations in wind or dew-point forecasts. Historical September 15 highs average about 90°F, so the current pattern represents well above-normal warmth driven by the ongoing late-summer ridge. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 66.5% implied probability on 100–101°F and 28% on 98–99°F, aligns closely with this stable forecast envelope, with only slim odds assigned to 102°F+ outcomes that would require unexpected intensification or model bust.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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