Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set a maximum of 31°C for September 16 under northeast monsoon influence, with generally fine to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low rain probability after early localized showers. This positions 31°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the 64.5% market-implied probability, while the 21% chance assigned to 32°C accounts for possible localized warming or measurement variance at urban stations. Current observations near 29–31°C midday align with the baseline climatology for mid-September, when high-pressure systems typically cap highs in this narrow range without strong diurnal heating or frontal passages. Updated model guidance and final daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 66%
32°C 26%
30°C 7%
33°C 1.2%
$74,864 Vol.
$74,864 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
7%
31°C
66%
32°C
26%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
32°C 26%
30°C 7%
33°C 1.2%
$74,864 Vol.
$74,864 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$704 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$36,831 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,943 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,539 Vol.
7%
31°C
$5,211 Vol.
66%
32°C
$6,196 Vol.
26%
33°C
$4,532 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,365 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,947 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set a maximum of 31°C for September 16 under northeast monsoon influence, with generally fine to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low rain probability after early localized showers. This positions 31°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the 64.5% market-implied probability, while the 21% chance assigned to 32°C accounts for possible localized warming or measurement variance at urban stations. Current observations near 29–31°C midday align with the baseline climatology for mid-September, when high-pressure systems typically cap highs in this narrow range without strong diurnal heating or frontal passages. Updated model guidance and final daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$74,864Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set a maximum of 31°C for September 16 under northeast monsoon influence, with generally fine to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low rain probability after early localized showers. This positions 31°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the 64.5% market-implied probability, while the 21% chance assigned to 32°C accounts for possible localized warming or measurement variance at urban stations. Current observations near 29–31°C midday align with the baseline climatology for mid-September, when high-pressure systems typically cap highs in this narrow range without strong diurnal heating or frontal passages. Updated model guidance and final daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,864Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts set a maximum of 31°C for September 16 under northeast monsoon influence, with generally fine to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and low rain probability after early localized showers. This positions 31°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the 64.5% market-implied probability, while the 21% chance assigned to 32°C accounts for possible localized warming or measurement variance at urban stations. Current observations near 29–31°C midday align with the baseline climatology for mid-September, when high-pressure systems typically cap highs in this narrow range without strong diurnal heating or frontal passages. Updated model guidance and final daily maximum readings from the Observatory will determine resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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