Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and AccuWeather point to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Wuhan on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow following cooler, rainier conditions on the 17th. High humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limit daytime heating, while dew points near 18–20°C support moderated maxima compared with clearer late-summer baselines. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind strength create the tight spread among leading outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 26°C versus steadier rain keeping them nearer 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 23%
22°C 17%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
17%
23°C
17%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
23%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 23%
22°C 17%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
17%
23°C
17%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
23%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including WeatherBug and AccuWeather point to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Wuhan on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northeasterly flow following cooler, rainier conditions on the 17th. High humidity and reduced solar insolation from overcast skies limit daytime heating, while dew points near 18–20°C support moderated maxima compared with clearer late-summer baselines. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind strength create the tight spread among leading outcomes, with traders weighing the potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 26°C versus steadier rain keeping them nearer 24°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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