National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 18 under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. This consensus from recent model runs supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, as persistent warm advection and stable high pressure maintain elevated temperatures consistent with mid-September climatology. Minor downward revisions in some guidance introduce slight uncertainty around exact peak values, but low precipitation chances and steady conditions through the 24-hour window limit downside risk for lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily maximum verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on September 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 18?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
89°F or below
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 33%
100-101°F 8%
102-103°F 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$20 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$3,957 Vol.
33%
98-99°F
$3,832 Vol.
54%
100-101°F
$506 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$5 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$142 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 18 under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. This consensus from recent model runs supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, as persistent warm advection and stable high pressure maintain elevated temperatures consistent with mid-September climatology. Minor downward revisions in some guidance introduce slight uncertainty around exact peak values, but low precipitation chances and steady conditions through the 24-hour window limit downside risk for lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,583Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 18 under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. This consensus from recent model runs supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, as persistent warm advection and stable high pressure maintain elevated temperatures consistent with mid-September climatology. Minor downward revisions in some guidance introduce slight uncertainty around exact peak values, but low precipitation chances and steady conditions through the 24-hour window limit downside risk for lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily maximum verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,583Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate a high near 100°F in Dallas on September 18 under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with heat indices potentially exceeding 105°F. This consensus from recent model runs supports the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 54% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, as persistent warm advection and stable high pressure maintain elevated temperatures consistent with mid-September climatology. Minor downward revisions in some guidance introduce slight uncertainty around exact peak values, but low precipitation chances and steady conditions through the 24-hour window limit downside risk for lower bins. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily maximum verification.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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