**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17, 2026, centers on 27°C (59% implied probability), with 26°C (19.5%) and 28°C (16%) as secondary options.** This reflects consensus from short-range forecast models and official guidance under stable high-pressure influence over the northern East Sea, producing partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical mid-September diurnal warming without significant cloud cover, precipitation, or frontal systems to suppress maxima. Current conditions show clear to partly cloudy skies with highs building from morning lows around 18–19°C. Multiple sources, including Korea Meteorological Administration guidance for Incheon International Airport (min 18°C, max 28°C) and ensemble outputs projecting afternoon peaks near 27–28°C (roughly 81°F), support this narrow range. Seasonal climatology for the area places typical September highs in the mid- to upper-20s°C, and recent days have featured similar high-pressure-driven patterns with large diurnal ranges but no anomalous heat or cooling. No major model disagreements or incoming disturbances appear likely to shift the outcome before resolution, keeping the market tightly clustered around the 26–28°C band as the most probable maximum under observed atmospheric conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
27°C 59%
26°C 21%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
$10,110 Vol.
$10,110 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
21%
27°C
59%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 59%
26°C 21%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
$10,110 Vol.
$10,110 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
21%
27°C
59%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17, 2026, centers on 27°C (59% implied probability), with 26°C (19.5%) and 28°C (16%) as secondary options.** This reflects consensus from short-range forecast models and official guidance under stable high-pressure influence over the northern East Sea, producing partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical mid-September diurnal warming without significant cloud cover, precipitation, or frontal systems to suppress maxima. Current conditions show clear to partly cloudy skies with highs building from morning lows around 18–19°C. Multiple sources, including Korea Meteorological Administration guidance for Incheon International Airport (min 18°C, max 28°C) and ensemble outputs projecting afternoon peaks near 27–28°C (roughly 81°F), support this narrow range. Seasonal climatology for the area places typical September highs in the mid- to upper-20s°C, and recent days have featured similar high-pressure-driven patterns with large diurnal ranges but no anomalous heat or cooling. No major model disagreements or incoming disturbances appear likely to shift the outcome before resolution, keeping the market tightly clustered around the 26–28°C band as the most probable maximum under observed atmospheric conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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