**Current observational data from Incheon and Seoul stations show overnight lows stabilizing at 18°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, aligning with National Meteorological Agency model consensus and producing the market's near-certain 18°C outcome.** Mid-September climatology for the region features typical minimums of 17–20°C as the summer monsoon recedes and radiative cooling strengthens modestly overnight; recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with no incoming cold advection or significant cloud-clearing that would drive sharper drops. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders' assessment of verified station readings rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night temperature plunge below 18°C or a revision in official minimum reporting methodology, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below 1.4%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$22,160 Vol.
$22,160 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below 1.4%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$22,160 Vol.
$22,160 Vol.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current observational data from Incheon and Seoul stations show overnight lows stabilizing at 18°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, aligning with National Meteorological Agency model consensus and producing the market's near-certain 18°C outcome.** Mid-September climatology for the region features typical minimums of 17–20°C as the summer monsoon recedes and radiative cooling strengthens modestly overnight; recent model runs have shown minimal spread, with no incoming cold advection or significant cloud-clearing that would drive sharper drops. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects traders' assessment of verified station readings rather than forecasts alone. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night temperature plunge below 18°C or a revision in official minimum reporting methodology, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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