Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to mostly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 17 with moderate southwest winds under 3 m/s and highs centered near 29–30 °C, following a sunnier 31 °C peak the prior day. Cloud cover will limit peak solar insolation and surface heating compared with clear-sky conditions, while the urban heat island and seasonal transition toward autumn norms (historical September 17 average high ~26 °C) cap extremes. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, wind timing, or model bias explain the tight clustering around 29–31 °C outcomes; official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
30°C 29%
31°C 28%
29°C 20%
28°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
29%
31°C
28%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 29%
31°C 28%
29°C 20%
28°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
25°C or below
$87 Vol.
1%
26°C
$13 Vol.
1%
27°C
$17 Vol.
6%
28°C
$58 Vol.
13%
29°C
$206 Vol.
20%
30°C
$221 Vol.
29%
31°C
$93 Vol.
28%
32°C
$117 Vol.
12%
33°C
$79 Vol.
5%
34°C
$25 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to mostly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 17 with moderate southwest winds under 3 m/s and highs centered near 29–30 °C, following a sunnier 31 °C peak the prior day. Cloud cover will limit peak solar insolation and surface heating compared with clear-sky conditions, while the urban heat island and seasonal transition toward autumn norms (historical September 17 average high ~26 °C) cap extremes. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, wind timing, or model bias explain the tight clustering around 29–31 °C outcomes; official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$916Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to mostly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 17 with moderate southwest winds under 3 m/s and highs centered near 29–30 °C, following a sunnier 31 °C peak the prior day. Cloud cover will limit peak solar insolation and surface heating compared with clear-sky conditions, while the urban heat island and seasonal transition toward autumn norms (historical September 17 average high ~26 °C) cap extremes. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, wind timing, or model bias explain the tight clustering around 29–31 °C outcomes; official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$916Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, point to mostly cloudy skies over Beijing on September 17 with moderate southwest winds under 3 m/s and highs centered near 29–30 °C, following a sunnier 31 °C peak the prior day. Cloud cover will limit peak solar insolation and surface heating compared with clear-sky conditions, while the urban heat island and seasonal transition toward autumn norms (historical September 17 average high ~26 °C) cap extremes. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, wind timing, or model bias explain the tight clustering around 29–31 °C outcomes; official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan