Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 17?
24°C or higher 43%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
36%
15°C
27%
16°C
40%
17°C
27%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
12%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
43%
24°C or higher 43%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$98 Vol.
12%
20°C
$132 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$230Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$230Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models point to a Beijing minimum near 18–19 °C on September 17 under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. This places the outcome near the center of the tightly bunched market probabilities, where 17 °C, 18 °C, and nearby bins each carry roughly one-quarter implied probability. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in low-level moisture, wind speed after sunset, and the precise timing of any thin cloud deck, all of which can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated high-resolution runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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