Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 30°C for Wuhan on September 15, consistent with the market's near-even odds among 29–31°C outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions of the prior week, while urban heat island effects and modest humidity around 45–55% will influence the exact maximum. Historical September highs average 29–30°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model spreads. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local observations over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 15?
29°C 25%
30°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
25%
30°C
21%
31°C
21%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
29°C 25%
30°C 21%
31°C 21%
28°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$20 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
21%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$20 Vol.
9%
33°C
$7 Vol.
5%
34°C
$10 Vol.
3%
35°C
$10 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 30°C for Wuhan on September 15, consistent with the market's near-even odds among 29–31°C outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions of the prior week, while urban heat island effects and modest humidity around 45–55% will influence the exact maximum. Historical September highs average 29–30°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model spreads. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local observations over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$87Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 30°C for Wuhan on September 15, consistent with the market's near-even odds among 29–31°C outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions of the prior week, while urban heat island effects and modest humidity around 45–55% will influence the exact maximum. Historical September highs average 29–30°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model spreads. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local observations over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$87Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 30°C for Wuhan on September 15, consistent with the market's near-even odds among 29–31°C outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation compared with the clearer, warmer conditions of the prior week, while urban heat island effects and modest humidity around 45–55% will influence the exact maximum. Historical September highs average 29–30°C, providing a baseline that traders weigh against short-term model spreads. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and refined local observations over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to shift probabilities among the tightly clustered central outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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