Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 15 indicate persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity that are expected to limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low 20s Celsius. Model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others centers on a high near 21–23 °C, with totals of 20+ mm of precipitation and overcast skies reducing solar radiation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 21–23 °C outcomes, as small variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the strong likelihood of suppressed temperatures against minor model disagreements on exact intensity and timing of showers. Updated forecasts from official agencies in the coming hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 15?
22°C 32%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
20°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
23%
22°C
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 32%
21°C 23%
23°C 22%
20°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
$69 Vol.
1%
17°C
$22 Vol.
1%
18°C
$25 Vol.
3%
19°C
$29 Vol.
4%
20°C
$536 Vol.
9%
21°C
$590 Vol.
23%
22°C
$713 Vol.
32%
23°C
$2,327 Vol.
22%
24°C
$282 Vol.
7%
25°C
$89 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 15 indicate persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity that are expected to limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low 20s Celsius. Model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others centers on a high near 21–23 °C, with totals of 20+ mm of precipitation and overcast skies reducing solar radiation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 21–23 °C outcomes, as small variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the strong likelihood of suppressed temperatures against minor model disagreements on exact intensity and timing of showers. Updated forecasts from official agencies in the coming hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$4,706Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 15 indicate persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity that are expected to limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low 20s Celsius. Model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others centers on a high near 21–23 °C, with totals of 20+ mm of precipitation and overcast skies reducing solar radiation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 21–23 °C outcomes, as small variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the strong likelihood of suppressed temperatures against minor model disagreements on exact intensity and timing of showers. Updated forecasts from official agencies in the coming hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,706Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 15 indicate persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and high humidity that are expected to limit daytime heating and keep the maximum temperature in the low 20s Celsius. Model consensus from sources including PredictWind, Yr.no, and others centers on a high near 21–23 °C, with totals of 20+ mm of precipitation and overcast skies reducing solar radiation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering around 21–23 °C outcomes, as small variations in rainfall timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the strong likelihood of suppressed temperatures against minor model disagreements on exact intensity and timing of showers. Updated forecasts from official agencies in the coming hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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