**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are the dominant factors holding the overnight low near 18–19 °C on September 15.** Multiple forecast models show a saturated boundary layer with high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly flow, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling while daytime heating remains modest under overcast skies. This produces a narrow diurnal range typical of late-summer monsoon remnants rather than a sharp autumn chill. Historical September climatology places average lows near 19 °C, with occasional drops to 15–16 °C only under clearer, drier conditions that are not currently expected. The near-even market split between the 24 °C+ and ≤14 °C bins reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling any late-model shift or brief clearing could produce before the minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 15?
24°C or higher 74%
15°C 39%
23°C 39%
14°C or below 36.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
37%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
22%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
39%
24°C or higher
74%
24°C or higher 74%
15°C 39%
23°C 39%
14°C or below 36.9%
BARU
BARU
Sep 15, 2026
14°C or below
$60 Vol.
37%
15°C
$76 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
23%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$12 Vol.
8%
23°C
$10 Vol.
39%
24°C or higher
$10 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are the dominant factors holding the overnight low near 18–19 °C on September 15.** Multiple forecast models show a saturated boundary layer with high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly flow, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling while daytime heating remains modest under overcast skies. This produces a narrow diurnal range typical of late-summer monsoon remnants rather than a sharp autumn chill. Historical September climatology places average lows near 19 °C, with occasional drops to 15–16 °C only under clearer, drier conditions that are not currently expected. The near-even market split between the 24 °C+ and ≤14 °C bins reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling any late-model shift or brief clearing could produce before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$168Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are the dominant factors holding the overnight low near 18–19 °C on September 15.** Multiple forecast models show a saturated boundary layer with high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly flow, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling while daytime heating remains modest under overcast skies. This produces a narrow diurnal range typical of late-summer monsoon remnants rather than a sharp autumn chill. Historical September climatology places average lows near 19 °C, with occasional drops to 15–16 °C only under clearer, drier conditions that are not currently expected. The near-even market split between the 24 °C+ and ≤14 °C bins reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling any late-model shift or brief clearing could produce before the minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$168Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are the dominant factors holding the overnight low near 18–19 °C on September 15.** Multiple forecast models show a saturated boundary layer with high humidity (85–93 %) and light northerly flow, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling while daytime heating remains modest under overcast skies. This produces a narrow diurnal range typical of late-summer monsoon remnants rather than a sharp autumn chill. Historical September climatology places average lows near 19 °C, with occasional drops to 15–16 °C only under clearer, drier conditions that are not currently expected. The near-even market split between the 24 °C+ and ≤14 °C bins reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling any late-model shift or brief clearing could produce before the minimum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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