Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 16 likely between 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–28°C. Market-implied odds favor 21°C or higher as the leading outcome amid model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns, while probabilities cluster around 16–17°C bins reflecting the consensus central tendency. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum threshold and potentially shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
21°C or higher 71%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
34%
13°C
34%
14°C
34%
15°C
20%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
30%
19°C
21%
20°C
20%
21°C or higher
71%
21°C or higher 71%
12°C 34%
13°C 34%
14°C 34%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
34%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$63 Vol.
30%
17°C
$68 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
30%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 16 likely between 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–28°C. Market-implied odds favor 21°C or higher as the leading outcome amid model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns, while probabilities cluster around 16–17°C bins reflecting the consensus central tendency. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum threshold and potentially shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$131Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 16 likely between 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–28°C. Market-implied odds favor 21°C or higher as the leading outcome amid model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns, while probabilities cluster around 16–17°C bins reflecting the consensus central tendency. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum threshold and potentially shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and global ensembles indicate a daily minimum temperature in Incheon/Seoul on September 16 likely between 17–19°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This range aligns with climatological September norms for the region, where overnight radiative cooling is moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–28°C. Market-implied odds favor 21°C or higher as the leading outcome amid model spread and short-term uncertainty in steering patterns, while probabilities cluster around 16–17°C bins reflecting the consensus central tendency. Updated high-resolution runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the minimum threshold and potentially shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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