Current forecast models indicate an overnight low for New York City on September 18 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, shaped by northerly winds behind a weak frontal boundary, partly to mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity levels that limit radiational cooling. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 65°F but can remain milder under southerly flow influence earlier in the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 70-71°F bin, reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited overnight drop despite some variability across guidance. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble data releases in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities as conditions evolve.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on September 18?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 18?
70-71°F 51%
72-73°F 33%
68-69°F 15%
66-67°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
61°F or below
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 51%
72-73°F 33%
68-69°F 15%
66-67°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$309 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$621 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$731 Vol.
33%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$311 Vol.
1%
80°F or higher
$311 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low for New York City on September 18 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, shaped by northerly winds behind a weak frontal boundary, partly to mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity levels that limit radiational cooling. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 65°F but can remain milder under southerly flow influence earlier in the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 70-71°F bin, reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited overnight drop despite some variability across guidance. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble data releases in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,283Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate an overnight low for New York City on September 18 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, shaped by northerly winds behind a weak frontal boundary, partly to mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity levels that limit radiational cooling. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 65°F but can remain milder under southerly flow influence earlier in the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 70-71°F bin, reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited overnight drop despite some variability across guidance. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble data releases in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,283Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate an overnight low for New York City on September 18 in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit, shaped by northerly winds behind a weak frontal boundary, partly to mostly clear skies, and moderate humidity levels that limit radiational cooling. This setup aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where typical minima hover near 65°F but can remain milder under southerly flow influence earlier in the period. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 70-71°F bin, reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited overnight drop despite some variability across guidance. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble data releases in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities as conditions evolve.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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