Current forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicates a Friday high in Taipei near 28–30°C under easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and variable cloud cover with low drizzle chances that could limit afternoon warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C, appears to price in modest model upside or partial clearing scenarios despite the official range centering lower. Historical September baselines and recent days' observed maxima around 29–30°C provide context for the tight distribution around 30–32°C. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these skin-in-the-game odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 18?
31°C 43%
30°C 21%
32°C 20%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
21%
31°C
41%
32°C
26%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 21%
32°C 20%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$11 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$5 Vol.
21%
31°C
$96 Vol.
41%
32°C
$6 Vol.
26%
33°C
$6 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicates a Friday high in Taipei near 28–30°C under easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and variable cloud cover with low drizzle chances that could limit afternoon warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C, appears to price in modest model upside or partial clearing scenarios despite the official range centering lower. Historical September baselines and recent days' observed maxima around 29–30°C provide context for the tight distribution around 30–32°C. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these skin-in-the-game odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$124Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicates a Friday high in Taipei near 28–30°C under easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and variable cloud cover with low drizzle chances that could limit afternoon warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C, appears to price in modest model upside or partial clearing scenarios despite the official range centering lower. Historical September baselines and recent days' observed maxima around 29–30°C provide context for the tight distribution around 30–32°C. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these skin-in-the-game odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$124Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicates a Friday high in Taipei near 28–30°C under easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and variable cloud cover with low drizzle chances that could limit afternoon warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C, appears to price in modest model upside or partial clearing scenarios despite the official range centering lower. Historical September baselines and recent days' observed maxima around 29–30°C provide context for the tight distribution around 30–32°C. Updated model runs and the next official briefing will likely drive any near-term shifts in these skin-in-the-game odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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