Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
20°C or below 86%
24°C 47%
23°C 42%
21°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
86%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
34%
24°C
47%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
20%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
20°C or below 86%
24°C 47%
23°C 42%
21°C 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
86%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$7 Vol.
34%
24°C
$5 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$12Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooler-than-average pattern for Istanbul on September 18, with northerly winds from the Balkans advecting cooler, moister air and triggering showers that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks from regional meteorological services project highs near 24–25°C amid cloud cover and precipitation, well below the late-summer climatological average of 25–26°C. This atmospheric setup—enhanced by strengthening pressure gradients and reduced insolation—has shifted trader sentiment toward the 20°C-or-below outcome at 49% implied probability. Model consensus remains consistent on the cooling influence, though minor variations in shower timing or wind strength could allow the maximum to reach 22–24°C. Updated numerical guidance and satellite observations in the next 48 hours will refine the final temperature distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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