Current forecast models for Cape Town on September 18 indicate a high near 19–21°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, driven by stable high pressure and dry spring air masses typical for the region. This consensus from sources such as NOAA-aligned and European models supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting minimal expected variability in daytime maxima. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, but recent observations show slightly above-normal temperatures with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to suppress readings. Traders appear to price in low uncertainty ahead of the final observational window, though minor model shifts in wind strength or timing could still adjust the peak by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 18?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 18?
21°C 64%
22°C 29%
23°C 5%
20°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
64%
22°C
29%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 64%
22°C 29%
23°C 5%
20°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
16°C or below
$407 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$169 Vol.
1%
18°C
$228 Vol.
1%
19°C
$268 Vol.
4%
20°C
$299 Vol.
4%
21°C
$1,584 Vol.
64%
22°C
$575 Vol.
29%
23°C
$450 Vol.
5%
24°C
$163 Vol.
1%
25°C
$163 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Cape Town on September 18 indicate a high near 19–21°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, driven by stable high pressure and dry spring air masses typical for the region. This consensus from sources such as NOAA-aligned and European models supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting minimal expected variability in daytime maxima. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, but recent observations show slightly above-normal temperatures with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to suppress readings. Traders appear to price in low uncertainty ahead of the final observational window, though minor model shifts in wind strength or timing could still adjust the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,634Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Cape Town on September 18 indicate a high near 19–21°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, driven by stable high pressure and dry spring air masses typical for the region. This consensus from sources such as NOAA-aligned and European models supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting minimal expected variability in daytime maxima. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, but recent observations show slightly above-normal temperatures with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to suppress readings. Traders appear to price in low uncertainty ahead of the final observational window, though minor model shifts in wind strength or timing could still adjust the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,634Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Cape Town on September 18 indicate a high near 19–21°C under clear skies and persistent southeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, driven by stable high pressure and dry spring air masses typical for the region. This consensus from sources such as NOAA-aligned and European models supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (61.5% implied probability) and 22°C (27.5%), reflecting minimal expected variability in daytime maxima. Historical September averages around 18°C provide context, but recent observations show slightly above-normal temperatures with no incoming fronts or cloud cover to suppress readings. Traders appear to price in low uncertainty ahead of the final observational window, though minor model shifts in wind strength or timing could still adjust the peak by 1°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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