Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 22°C (46%) and 23°C (28%), as current conditions reflect typical mid-September cooling after warmer early-month readings and match the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C. Stable steering patterns and moderate humidity support limited daytime warming, with little model divergence expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these consensus signals heavily, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 21–23°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on September 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 18?
22°C 50%
23°C 37%
21°C 20%
20°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
20%
22°C
50%
23°C
28%
24°C
11%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 50%
23°C 37%
21°C 20%
20°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Sep 18, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C
$15 Vol.
4%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$59 Vol.
50%
23°C
$221 Vol.
28%
24°C
$3 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 22°C (46%) and 23°C (28%), as current conditions reflect typical mid-September cooling after warmer early-month readings and match the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C. Stable steering patterns and moderate humidity support limited daytime warming, with little model divergence expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these consensus signals heavily, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 21–23°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$307Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 22°C (46%) and 23°C (28%), as current conditions reflect typical mid-September cooling after warmer early-month readings and match the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C. Stable steering patterns and moderate humidity support limited daytime warming, with little model divergence expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these consensus signals heavily, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 21–23°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$307Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based outputs, indicate a high near 22°C for Paris on September 18 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's strong preference for 22°C (46%) and 23°C (28%), as current conditions reflect typical mid-September cooling after warmer early-month readings and match the 1991–2020 average high of 21.2°C. Stable steering patterns and moderate humidity support limited daytime warming, with little model divergence expected before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these consensus signals heavily, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 21–23°C range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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