Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Cape Town through September 8, supporting overnight lows near 15–16°C under light southeast winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 13–19°C range, where small differences in minimum temperature hinge on exact timing of radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima around 11–12°C, but recent warm anomalies and dry conditions have elevated baseline temperatures. Traders weigh the narrow spread between leading outcomes against potential model revisions in the final 48-hour runs, as even modest shifts in dew point or wind could tip the recorded low by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
21°C or higher 69%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
29%
12°C
20%
13°C
49%
14°C
25%
15°C
29%
16°C
28%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
18%
21°C or higher
69%
21°C or higher 69%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$34 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Cape Town through September 8, supporting overnight lows near 15–16°C under light southeast winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 13–19°C range, where small differences in minimum temperature hinge on exact timing of radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima around 11–12°C, but recent warm anomalies and dry conditions have elevated baseline temperatures. Traders weigh the narrow spread between leading outcomes against potential model revisions in the final 48-hour runs, as even modest shifts in dew point or wind could tip the recorded low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
Volume
$34Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Cape Town through September 8, supporting overnight lows near 15–16°C under light southeast winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 13–19°C range, where small differences in minimum temperature hinge on exact timing of radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima around 11–12°C, but recent warm anomalies and dry conditions have elevated baseline temperatures. Traders weigh the narrow spread between leading outcomes against potential model revisions in the final 48-hour runs, as even modest shifts in dew point or wind could tip the recorded low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate clear, stable high-pressure conditions over Cape Town through September 8, supporting overnight lows near 15–16°C under light southeast winds. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 13–19°C range, where small differences in minimum temperature hinge on exact timing of radiational cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima around 11–12°C, but recent warm anomalies and dry conditions have elevated baseline temperatures. Traders weigh the narrow spread between leading outcomes against potential model revisions in the final 48-hour runs, as even modest shifts in dew point or wind could tip the recorded low by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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