Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 19?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 Vol.
$32,895 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 Vol.
$32,895 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
15°C or below
$869 Vol.
No
16°C
$692 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,778 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,175 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,190 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,862 Vol.
No
21°C
$14,463 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$797 Vol.
No
23°C
$643 Vol.
No
24°C
$510 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$917 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$32,895Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,895Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan