**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.** High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,931 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,109 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,660 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,792 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,907 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$8,694 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,834 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,109 Vol.
No
26°C
$551 Vol.
No
27°C
$288 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$410 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.**
High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$24,287Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.**
High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,287Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 22°C low for Shanghai on June 16, driven by consistent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing overnight minima stabilizing near that level amid typical mid-June plum rain conditions.** High pressure and moderate easterly flow have maintained temperatures above seasonal averages without significant cooling influences, aligning with historical mid-month lows averaging 21–22°C at Pudong International Airport. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing the narrow probability band. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold surge or measurement anomaly at the reference station, though current observations and ensemble agreement make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan