Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 11?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,907 Vol.
$19,907 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,907 Vol.
$19,907 Vol.
Jul 11, 2026
19°C or below
$866 Vol.
No
20°C
$807 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,079 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,770 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,627 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,831 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,371 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$1,057 Vol.
No
27°C
$911 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,546 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$2,042 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,907Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,907Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo overnight lows on July 11 will likely range from 22–24°C under a subtropical ridge with partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and minimal radiative cooling. Above-normal sea-surface temperatures sustain elevated baseline warmth, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further limit temperature drops. Small differences in cloud persistence, wind strength, or localized shower timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Updated model runs and official guidance ahead of the date will refine these variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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