Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, faces Republican nominee Justin Murphy in the November 2026 general election after winning his primary unopposed and Murphy prevailing in a fragmented June Republican contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean in Senate races, reinforced by the absence of a GOP victory since 1972 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters project a wide margin based on the state's partisan composition and incumbent advantages, with no general election polls yet available to alter the assessment. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the candidates, or unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment, though these remain low-probability factors given historical patterns and current positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNew Jersey Senate Election Winner
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
$19,909 Vol.
$19,909 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
5%
$19,909 Vol.
$19,909 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$10,385 Vol.
96%
Republican
$9,525 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, faces Republican nominee Justin Murphy in the November 2026 general election after winning his primary unopposed and Murphy prevailing in a fragmented June Republican contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean in Senate races, reinforced by the absence of a GOP victory since 1972 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters project a wide margin based on the state's partisan composition and incumbent advantages, with no general election polls yet available to alter the assessment. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the candidates, or unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment, though these remain low-probability factors given historical patterns and current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$19,909Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, faces Republican nominee Justin Murphy in the November 2026 general election after winning his primary unopposed and Murphy prevailing in a fragmented June Republican contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean in Senate races, reinforced by the absence of a GOP victory since 1972 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters project a wide margin based on the state's partisan composition and incumbent advantages, with no general election polls yet available to alter the assessment. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the candidates, or unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment, though these remain low-probability factors given historical patterns and current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$19,909Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker, seeking a third full term, faces Republican nominee Justin Murphy in the November 2026 general election after winning his primary unopposed and Murphy prevailing in a fragmented June Republican contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic lean in Senate races, reinforced by the absence of a GOP victory since 1972 and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters project a wide margin based on the state's partisan composition and incumbent advantages, with no general election polls yet available to alter the assessment. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as major scandals, health events affecting the candidates, or unusually high Republican turnout in a midterm environment, though these remain low-probability factors given historical patterns and current positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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