Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHelder 70%
Fernanda Lopes 21%
Delegado Éder Mauro 8%
Breno Guimarães 8%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
68%
Fernanda Lopes
18%
Delegado Éder Mauro
8%
Breno Guimarães
8%
Chicão
7%
Edlaine Rodrigues
7%
Gizelle Freitas
7%
Conti
6%
Willem da Silva
6%
Celso Sabino
24%
Zequinha Marinho
18%
Helder 70%
Fernanda Lopes 21%
Delegado Éder Mauro 8%
Breno Guimarães 8%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$188 Vol.
68%
Fernanda Lopes
$80 Vol.
18%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$40 Vol.
8%
Breno Guimarães
$40 Vol.
8%
Chicão
$40 Vol.
7%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$40 Vol.
7%
Gizelle Freitas
$83 Vol.
7%
Conti
$103 Vol.
6%
Willem da Silva
$92 Vol.
6%
Celso Sabino
$40 Vol.
24%
Zequinha Marinho
$40 Vol.
18%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$786Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$786Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB), the term-limited former governor of Pará, holds a clear lead in the race for first place in the state's 2026 Senate election, reflected in trader pricing. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows him at 21-24% first-round intent across scenarios, ahead of federal deputy Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-15% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) further back, driven by Barbalho's statewide name recognition, governing record, and MDB alliances ahead of the October vote. Other pre-candidates such as Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União Brasil), and Delegado Éder Mauro trail in surveys, with limited shifts reported since the polls. Market consensus on Barbalho at 74% for top spot aligns with these vote-share patterns and historical advantages for high-profile state executives seeking Senate seats, while lower probabilities for remaining names track their weaker polling baselines and coalition positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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