Skip to main content
icon for Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Cadu de Lula 39%

Álvaro Dias 37%

Rodrigo Bolsonaro 37%

Professor Roberio Paulino 36%

Polymarket
BARU

Cadu de Lula 39%

Álvaro Dias 37%

Rodrigo Bolsonaro 37%

Professor Roberio Paulino 36%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for Professor Roberio Paulino

Professor Roberio Paulino

$0 Vol.

36%

icon for Allyson

Allyson

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$0 Vol.

35%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$0 Vol.

34%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$0 Vol.

34%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented with nine registered candidates and no dominant frontrunner, producing closely matched trader probabilities across multiple names. Recent AtlasIntel polling from mid-July shows Cadu Xavier (PT) leading at 36 percent, followed by Álvaro Dias (PL) at 28 percent and Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) at 25 percent, yet earlier surveys had Bezerra ahead, illustrating volatility. Recent party conventions confirmed the field including Henrique Lyra (PCO), Robério Paulino (PSOL), Dário Barbosa (PSTU), Arinalda (UP), Rodrigo Bolsonaro (AGIR), and Carlos Jararaca (DC), while alliances, regional voting blocs in Natal and Mossoró, and national party dynamics continue to shape momentum ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. This uncertainty sustains dispersed market pricing until clearer polling trends or runoff scenarios emerge.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Terkait

icon for Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

61%
icon for Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

97%
icon for Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?

Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?

70%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Cadu de Lula" di 40%, diikuti oleh "Álvaro Dias" di 38%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 40¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" adalah "Cadu de Lula" di 40%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Álvaro Dias" di 38%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.