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icon for Sam Altman in jail by...?
Teknologi·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

icon for Sam Altman in jail by...?
Teknologi·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$44,720 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$44,720 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$18,374 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman faces no active criminal proceedings that would plausibly lead to jail time, keeping market-implied odds near 1% for resolution by mid-2026. His sister Annie Altman amended a civil lawsuit in March 2026 alleging historical sexual abuse, which Altman denies while countersuing for defamation; the case centers on Missouri statutes but remains a private dispute without criminal charges. A recent Florida Attorney General civil suit targets OpenAI and Altman over ChatGPT safety and alleged links to violent incidents, yet this focuses on corporate practices rather than personal criminal liability. Ongoing regulatory scrutiny of OpenAI, including past SEC reviews of internal matters, has not produced indictments. Traders monitor civil case filings and any shift to criminal investigations, though product timelines and competitive AI developments currently overshadow these low-probability personal legal risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,720
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sam Altman faces no active criminal proceedings that would plausibly lead to jail time, keeping market-implied odds near 1% for resolution by mid-2026. His sister Annie Altman amended a civil lawsuit in March 2026 alleging historical sexual abuse, which Altman denies while countersuing for defamation; the case centers on Missouri statutes but remains a private dispute without criminal charges. A recent Florida Attorney General civil suit targets OpenAI and Altman over ChatGPT safety and alleged links to violent incidents, yet this focuses on corporate practices rather than personal criminal liability. Ongoing regulatory scrutiny of OpenAI, including past SEC reviews of internal matters, has not produced indictments. Traders monitor civil case filings and any shift to criminal investigations, though product timelines and competitive AI developments currently overshadow these low-probability personal legal risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,720
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Sam Altman in jail by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah " June 30, 2026" di 1%, diikuti oleh "December 31, 2025" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 1¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 1% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Sam Altman in jail by...?" telah menghasilkan $44.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 7, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Sam Altman in jail by...?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Sam Altman in jail by...?" adalah " June 30, 2026" di hanya 1%, dengan "December 31, 2025" mengejar ketat di 0%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Sam Altman in jail by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.