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Pemilihan Umum·Primer

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Primer

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Smith 44%

Alex Pelbath 26%

Jay Byars 6.8%

Sam McCown 7%

Polymarket
BARU

Mark Smith 44%

Alex Pelbath 26%

Jay Byars 6.8%

Sam McCown 7%

Polymarket
BARU

Mark Smith

$2,086 Vol.

44%

Alex Pelbath

$1,532 Vol.

26%

Jay Byars

$444 Vol.

7%

Sam McCown

$1,059 Vol.

7%

Jack Ellison

$504 Vol.

5%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$514 Vol.

3%

Justin Myers

$529 Vol.

1%

Logan Cunningham

$664 Vol.

1%

Dan Brown

$437 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, trader consensus favors state Representative Mark Smith at 41.5% implied probability, driven by his local legislative experience, superior fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand entering 2026, and recent endorsements from figures like Justin Myers and State Senator Tom Fernandez. Retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27%, bolstered by his military background and Trump-aligned messaging, though he placed second in the April 16 Lowcountry congressional forum straw poll where Smith led 34%-29.5%. The crowded 14-candidate field, including former Gov. Mark Sanford's late entry, heightens runoff risks if no one exceeds 50%, with forums spotlighting immigration, spending, and infrastructure as undecided voters weigh name recognition and resources ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,769
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, trader consensus favors state Representative Mark Smith at 41.5% implied probability, driven by his local legislative experience, superior fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand entering 2026, and recent endorsements from figures like Justin Myers and State Senator Tom Fernandez. Retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27%, bolstered by his military background and Trump-aligned messaging, though he placed second in the April 16 Lowcountry congressional forum straw poll where Smith led 34%-29.5%. The crowded 14-candidate field, including former Gov. Mark Sanford's late entry, heightens runoff risks if no one exceeds 50%, with forums spotlighting immigration, spending, and infrastructure as undecided voters weigh name recognition and resources ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,769
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 9, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Mark Smith" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Alex Pelbath" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Dec 18, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Mark Smith" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Alex Pelbath" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.