Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable indicators of internal plotting amid the ongoing Russian invasion. President Zelenskyy's leadership remains stable under martial law, which suspends elections and suppresses opposition, while military chief General Syrskyi outlined defensive priorities for 2026, including exhausting Russian forces through counteroffensives in the south reported in early April. Recent diplomatic stalls in U.S.-backed peace talks and Russian claims of not targeting Zelenskyy for potential negotiations underscore external focus over domestic upheaval. Scenarios like major frontline collapses, aid disruptions, or high-level scandals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
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Jun 30, 2026
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Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable indicators of internal plotting amid the ongoing Russian invasion. President Zelenskyy's leadership remains stable under martial law, which suspends elections and suppresses opposition, while military chief General Syrskyi outlined defensive priorities for 2026, including exhausting Russian forces through counteroffensives in the south reported in early April. Recent diplomatic stalls in U.S.-backed peace talks and Russian claims of not targeting Zelenskyy for potential negotiations underscore external focus over domestic upheaval. Scenarios like major frontline collapses, aid disruptions, or high-level scandals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$8,864Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable indicators of internal plotting amid the ongoing Russian invasion. President Zelenskyy's leadership remains stable under martial law, which suspends elections and suppresses opposition, while military chief General Syrskyi outlined defensive priorities for 2026, including exhausting Russian forces through counteroffensives in the south reported in early April. Recent diplomatic stalls in U.S.-backed peace talks and Russian claims of not targeting Zelenskyy for potential negotiations underscore external focus over domestic upheaval. Scenarios like major frontline collapses, aid disruptions, or high-level scandals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,864Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt in Ukraine by June 30, reflecting the absence of any credible reports, official statements, or verifiable indicators of internal plotting amid the ongoing Russian invasion. President Zelenskyy's leadership remains stable under martial law, which suspends elections and suppresses opposition, while military chief General Syrskyi outlined defensive priorities for 2026, including exhausting Russian forces through counteroffensives in the south reported in early April. Recent diplomatic stalls in U.S.-backed peace talks and Russian claims of not targeting Zelenskyy for potential negotiations underscore external focus over domestic upheaval. Scenarios like major frontline collapses, aid disruptions, or high-level scandals could shift odds, though none have materialized in the past 30 days.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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