Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges. Periodic protests over anticorruption measures and EU accession strains in 2025 have not escalated into organized efforts to seize state institutions. Ukraine’s security services continue to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian scheme targeting Kyiv. Scheduled factors that could influence stability include any shifts in martial law provisions, legislative votes on governance reforms, or major developments in diplomatic negotiations before December 31, 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$169,153 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
8%
$169,153 Vol.
December 31
$151,317 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges. Periodic protests over anticorruption measures and EU accession strains in 2025 have not escalated into organized efforts to seize state institutions. Ukraine’s security services continue to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian scheme targeting Kyiv. Scheduled factors that could influence stability include any shifts in martial law provisions, legislative votes on governance reforms, or major developments in diplomatic negotiations before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,153Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges. Periodic protests over anticorruption measures and EU accession strains in 2025 have not escalated into organized efforts to seize state institutions. Ukraine’s security services continue to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian scheme targeting Kyiv. Scheduled factors that could influence stability include any shifts in martial law provisions, legislative votes on governance reforms, or major developments in diplomatic negotiations before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,153Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine maintains political continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia conflict, with no verified coup attempts or major internal power seizures reported through mid-2026. Trader consensus assigns low probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, reflecting the absence of recent triggers such as large-scale military defections, parliamentary seizures, or elite-level challenges. Periodic protests over anticorruption measures and EU accession strains in 2025 have not escalated into organized efforts to seize state institutions. Ukraine’s security services continue to monitor and disrupt potential plots, as seen in the 2024 foiled pro-Russian scheme targeting Kyiv. Scheduled factors that could influence stability include any shifts in martial law provisions, legislative votes on governance reforms, or major developments in diplomatic negotiations before December 31, 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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