Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated high-level purges of the People’s Liberation Army and party apparatus underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of senior generals, including Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, have eliminated potential rival networks and reinforced loyalty requirements ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Official proceedings frame these actions as anti-corruption enforcement rather than responses to organized challenges, with no verified reports of coordinated military or factional efforts to seize control. The compressed timeline to year-end further limits opportunities for such developments. Even so, unforeseen health events affecting top leadership or abrupt escalations in internal elite tensions remain theoretical variables that could still shift assessments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3% peluang
$155,383 Vol.
$155,383 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% peluang
$155,383 Vol.
$155,383 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated high-level purges of the People’s Liberation Army and party apparatus underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of senior generals, including Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, have eliminated potential rival networks and reinforced loyalty requirements ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Official proceedings frame these actions as anti-corruption enforcement rather than responses to organized challenges, with no verified reports of coordinated military or factional efforts to seize control. The compressed timeline to year-end further limits opportunities for such developments. Even so, unforeseen health events affecting top leadership or abrupt escalations in internal elite tensions remain theoretical variables that could still shift assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$155,383Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated high-level purges of the People’s Liberation Army and party apparatus underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of senior generals, including Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, have eliminated potential rival networks and reinforced loyalty requirements ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Official proceedings frame these actions as anti-corruption enforcement rather than responses to organized challenges, with no verified reports of coordinated military or factional efforts to seize control. The compressed timeline to year-end further limits opportunities for such developments. Even so, unforeseen health events affecting top leadership or abrupt escalations in internal elite tensions remain theoretical variables that could still shift assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$155,383Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through repeated high-level purges of the People’s Liberation Army and party apparatus underpins the 96.7% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Extensive removals of senior generals, including Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, have eliminated potential rival networks and reinforced loyalty requirements ahead of the 21st Party Congress. Official proceedings frame these actions as anti-corruption enforcement rather than responses to organized challenges, with no verified reports of coordinated military or factional efforts to seize control. The compressed timeline to year-end further limits opportunities for such developments. Even so, unforeseen health events affecting top leadership or abrupt escalations in internal elite tensions remain theoretical variables that could still shift assessments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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