Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at 92.5%, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party leader's firm grip on power amid the absence of verified threats in recent months. Xi's ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 detention of top PLA general Zhang Youxia amid unconfirmed power struggle rumors, have been interpreted as efforts to solidify loyalty within the People's Liberation Army rather than signs of vulnerability. In the past 30 days, Xi has projected stability through high-profile diplomacy, such as his April 15 meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov emphasizing enduring bilateral ties, and state messaging positioning China as a reliable force amid global uncertainties. Structural barriers like extensive surveillance, CCP institutional control, and lack of organized opposition sustain these elevated odds, though unforeseen economic crises or elite fractures could prompt shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$119,439 Vol.
$119,439 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$119,439 Vol.
$119,439 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at 92.5%, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party leader's firm grip on power amid the absence of verified threats in recent months. Xi's ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 detention of top PLA general Zhang Youxia amid unconfirmed power struggle rumors, have been interpreted as efforts to solidify loyalty within the People's Liberation Army rather than signs of vulnerability. In the past 30 days, Xi has projected stability through high-profile diplomacy, such as his April 15 meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov emphasizing enduring bilateral ties, and state messaging positioning China as a reliable force amid global uncertainties. Structural barriers like extensive surveillance, CCP institutional control, and lack of organized opposition sustain these elevated odds, though unforeseen economic crises or elite fractures could prompt shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$119,439Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at 92.5%, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party leader's firm grip on power amid the absence of verified threats in recent months. Xi's ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 detention of top PLA general Zhang Youxia amid unconfirmed power struggle rumors, have been interpreted as efforts to solidify loyalty within the People's Liberation Army rather than signs of vulnerability. In the past 30 days, Xi has projected stability through high-profile diplomacy, such as his April 15 meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov emphasizing enduring bilateral ties, and state messaging positioning China as a reliable force amid global uncertainties. Structural barriers like extensive surveillance, CCP institutional control, and lack of organized opposition sustain these elevated odds, though unforeseen economic crises or elite fractures could prompt shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$119,439Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no coup attempt against Xi Jinping before 2027 at 92.5%, reflecting the Chinese Communist Party leader's firm grip on power amid the absence of verified threats in recent months. Xi's ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 detention of top PLA general Zhang Youxia amid unconfirmed power struggle rumors, have been interpreted as efforts to solidify loyalty within the People's Liberation Army rather than signs of vulnerability. In the past 30 days, Xi has projected stability through high-profile diplomacy, such as his April 15 meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov emphasizing enduring bilateral ties, and state messaging positioning China as a reliable force amid global uncertainties. Structural barriers like extensive surveillance, CCP institutional control, and lack of organized opposition sustain these elevated odds, though unforeseen economic crises or elite fractures could prompt shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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