Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei remains alive and exercises final authority, dismissing rumors of his death or incapacity as US-Israeli propaganda tied to their inability to locate him. Khamenei has not appeared publicly since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members, with regime statements citing security needs amid ongoing conflict. Iranian officials describe communications as difficult but ongoing, while external reports highlight speculation over his health, possible medical needs, and decision-making role in a more collective leadership structure. These factors, alongside the active US-Israel confrontation and lack of verified public sightings, shape trader assessments of any near-term exit from Iran for treatment, safety, or other reasons.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$117,838 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
3%
December 31
4%
$117,838 Vol.
October 31
$119 Vol.
3%
December 31
$806 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei remains alive and exercises final authority, dismissing rumors of his death or incapacity as US-Israeli propaganda tied to their inability to locate him. Khamenei has not appeared publicly since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members, with regime statements citing security needs amid ongoing conflict. Iranian officials describe communications as difficult but ongoing, while external reports highlight speculation over his health, possible medical needs, and decision-making role in a more collective leadership structure. These factors, alongside the active US-Israel confrontation and lack of verified public sightings, shape trader assessments of any near-term exit from Iran for treatment, safety, or other reasons.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$117,838Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei remains alive and exercises final authority, dismissing rumors of his death or incapacity as US-Israeli propaganda tied to their inability to locate him. Khamenei has not appeared publicly since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members, with regime statements citing security needs amid ongoing conflict. Iranian officials describe communications as difficult but ongoing, while external reports highlight speculation over his health, possible medical needs, and decision-making role in a more collective leadership structure. These factors, alongside the active US-Israel confrontation and lack of verified public sightings, shape trader assessments of any near-term exit from Iran for treatment, safety, or other reasons.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$117,838Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed in mid-September 2026 that Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei remains alive and exercises final authority, dismissing rumors of his death or incapacity as US-Israeli propaganda tied to their inability to locate him. Khamenei has not appeared publicly since sustaining injuries in the February 2026 strikes that killed his father, Ali Khamenei, and other family members, with regime statements citing security needs amid ongoing conflict. Iranian officials describe communications as difficult but ongoing, while external reports highlight speculation over his health, possible medical needs, and decision-making role in a more collective leadership structure. These factors, alongside the active US-Israel confrontation and lack of verified public sightings, shape trader assessments of any near-term exit from Iran for treatment, safety, or other reasons.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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