SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise roughly $75 billion, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation with 97% implied probability. The February xAI merger set a $1.25 trillion baseline, while the May S-1 filing disclosed $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue—61% from Starlink’s profitable, recurring subscriptions—supporting a premium multiple near 94 times trailing sales despite net losses tied to heavy capital expenditures. Robust institutional roadshow demand and the company’s launch dominance reinforce positioning near the upper end of the target range. Potential challenges include post-listing volatility from integration risks or broader market swings that could pressure multiples below 1.75 trillion.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1.75-2.00T 97.0%
2.00-2.25T 1.9%
1.50-1.75T 1.1%
2.25-2.50T 1.0%
$221,019 Vol.
$221,019 Vol.
<1.25T
<1%
1.25-1.50T
<1%
1.50-1.75T
1%
1.75-2.00T
97%
2.00-2.25T
2%
2.25-2.50T
1%
2.50T+
<1%
1.75-2.00T 97.0%
2.00-2.25T 1.9%
1.50-1.75T 1.1%
2.25-2.50T 1.0%
$221,019 Vol.
$221,019 Vol.
<1.25T
$69,262 Vol.
<1%
1.25-1.50T
$22,459 Vol.
<1%
1.50-1.75T
$20,763 Vol.
1%
1.75-2.00T
$42,074 Vol.
97%
2.00-2.25T
$24,380 Vol.
2%
2.25-2.50T
$18,424 Vol.
1%
2.50T+
$25,867 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise roughly $75 billion, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation with 97% implied probability. The February xAI merger set a $1.25 trillion baseline, while the May S-1 filing disclosed $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue—61% from Starlink’s profitable, recurring subscriptions—supporting a premium multiple near 94 times trailing sales despite net losses tied to heavy capital expenditures. Robust institutional roadshow demand and the company’s launch dominance reinforce positioning near the upper end of the target range. Potential challenges include post-listing volatility from integration risks or broader market swings that could pressure multiples below 1.75 trillion.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$221,019Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise roughly $75 billion, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation with 97% implied probability. The February xAI merger set a $1.25 trillion baseline, while the May S-1 filing disclosed $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue—61% from Starlink’s profitable, recurring subscriptions—supporting a premium multiple near 94 times trailing sales despite net losses tied to heavy capital expenditures. Robust institutional roadshow demand and the company’s launch dominance reinforce positioning near the upper end of the target range. Potential challenges include post-listing volatility from integration risks or broader market swings that could pressure multiples below 1.75 trillion.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$221,019Pasar Dibuka
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s imminent Nasdaq IPO, priced at $135 per share to raise roughly $75 billion, has anchored trader consensus around a $1.75-2.00 trillion valuation with 97% implied probability. The February xAI merger set a $1.25 trillion baseline, while the May S-1 filing disclosed $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue—61% from Starlink’s profitable, recurring subscriptions—supporting a premium multiple near 94 times trailing sales despite net losses tied to heavy capital expenditures. Robust institutional roadshow demand and the company’s launch dominance reinforce positioning near the upper end of the target range. Potential challenges include post-listing volatility from integration risks or broader market swings that could pressure multiples below 1.75 trillion.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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